Don't see. Your point..
Three years back I was hauling wheat/durum south to Montana, making a regular extra over Cdn grain markets like there has been last twenty years, now with trump and all his stupid terrifs American farmers are hauling north, and our price is nothing to right home about.. If you call that progress, then we speak in different terms.. I think if America had any other leader in power, none of the term oil would of hit Ag like it has, first thing when a country gets hit with terrifs is retaliates against there Ag products and America like Cdn are exporting nations
Both our administrations have hurt Ag overall, and there is no end in site, Ru Ukraine Europe are loving these leaders, and why there Ag is picked up so much recently..
I don't quite see your point. I don't see any durum coming north, it is still going south. Corn has been imported for many many years into Canada prior to the last 3 years and has been used in feedlot alley as a substitute for barley when corn with transportation costs is at a competitive price. (supply/demand economics 101). It is just really a competitive game. When durum becomes short, there is a natural and sometime unnatural interjection in the US markets to produce more to cover their consumption and exports. (Floor prices under commodities can help bolster production, especially if it is insured or backed by a government guarantee!)
As for the rest of the world, we have sold them our competitive edge. All the large multinational corporations have increased their profits by selling the leading edge technology to the farmers of these nations, helping their bottom line. These countries use to use plows and Belarus tractors and primitive combines, now they use GPS, John Deere Tractors and airdrills. These companies selling the technology overseas have benefited greatly on the backs of all North American farmers. Canada has always only been a raw product supplier and that will likely never change. When the Crow Rate benefit was ended, people were told that value added companies would be popping up all over the prairies. I have failed to see that happen, not even a pasta plant built.
My brother-in-law is part of a Canadian "pilot project" in Kazakhstan where he has introduced Black Angus cattle brought in by Canadians. They have made deals with him and have partnered to make some money! These are Canadian firms out there that are making this happen and are profiting, using the farmers there to make their own balance sheets grow! They are actually taking away from your competitive edge. I am not saying this is right or wrong but that is what is happening today. Same scenario as you buying a Walmart shirt produced cheap by a foreigner paid with a bowl of rice and sold for good profit.
If we have had a few successful industries in Canada, they have been sold out into the Southern market which took them over, keeping our nation as a raw product provider only. Friggstad, Flexicoil to name a few. Honeybee sellout was attempted a few times already and one of these times they will get an offer by JD or otherwise where they will let it go and they become a price taker! JMO