2019 Drought in Prairies - Page 22 - The Combine Forum
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post #211 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-11-2019, 03:07 PM
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I am sure every area is different but here if you have extra n left over it is going to be there next spring. Top dressing on the other hand is a complete crap shoot. If it doesn't rain right after applying you just gassed off more n than banding it all with the seed ever will. Also like joesixpack said a well fertilized crop can take way more stress than a n depleted one.

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post #212 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-11-2019, 03:47 PM
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I’ve taken a similar approach with cattle. Last year considering how quickly it was transitioning from a wet cycle to a dry one, I stockpiled about 700 acres of grass for pasture and hay. Even if our growth is arrested in early July this year from wind and heat, we should have adequate pasture and feed. By keeping my numbers in check I was actually able to sell some hay last winter into a hot market also.

It’s time to burn the three year old row of bales behind the cows in this pasture and keep them off the local market, since they’ve already been verbally sold twice. �� And no worries guys I have no intention of burning the paid for ones!

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post #213 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-12-2019, 07:10 AM
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Can you believe it’s 6:00am June 12. And it’s only plus 2c and feels like 0c !!!! We are going to have a early frost this year.
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post #214 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-12-2019, 07:33 AM
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Easy for me to say as our "drought" conditions not even close to what others describing, but the thing that scares me more than dry conditions again this yr is a killing August frost - unless it comes after a 50% or better hail event this Summer. We have not had one of these around here for a long time(early 2000's) and just like all parts of the weather cycle history says that global warming or not we will get into a run of these. Last year even though they were not "killing" frosts we actually had 3 "nearly" frost events in August, but because it was so dry stuff was ripe enough that did not do any damage to quality or germ.

I have not looked back far enough in notes, but if anybody ever followed Cliff Harris believe he had 4 phases of weather cycle and really seems like we on the cusp of falling into the cold-dry phase which think the worst for Western Canadian production. Guess if there was any kind of widespread Western Cdn frost with issues of late, uneven germinated canola it could create some excitement.
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post #215 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-12-2019, 07:34 AM
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That’s not a record or anything , that’s the weather... it could snow too ! Check the records going back and you’ll see there was nothing special about 2 degrees June 12th
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post #216 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-12-2019, 08:29 AM
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When you are in a drought, the cold nights are very normal. Nothing above to hold the heat in. Think desert!
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post #217 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-12-2019, 09:03 AM
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Both the Pacific and Atlantic (PDO and AMO) are in cooling phases which is unusual. People seem to easily nod their head in agreement about what an el nino/La Nina is, how it happens and its effects on Prairie climate but then have a blank slate on the bigger picture which should be the easier one to understand. And yes, water vapor as the biggest greenhouse gas, I could mention clear nights and frost/bitter cold but will just let the CO2 crowd have their own science and programming on that one.

The hail thing I am mulling over, maybe worth its own thread as am wondering how I insure an oilseed crop that hasn't established. Go bare minimum or double up and play the casino. If i beleive the upper atmosphere is cooling then that should lead to more hail. It was around 2007 the last time I collected a hail claim which was just before the warm/wet cycle started.
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post #218 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-12-2019, 09:15 AM
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-1c in central mb this morning, looks about 1.5-2 hrs below... Light frost on the grass and tops of pickup. Sat in the sprayer at the edge of the field for 40 minutes till the sun came up enough to knock the frost off the weeds a little.

Canola all froze and the beetles finished it off, reseeded into cereals. Enough of a gambler already with half the farm in beans on a dry year.
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post #219 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-12-2019, 10:45 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kenmb View Post
Both the Pacific and Atlantic (PDO and AMO) are in cooling phases which is unusual. People seem to easily nod their head in agreement about what an el nino/La Nina is, how it happens and its effects on Prairie climate but then have a blank slate on the bigger picture which should be the easier one to understand. And yes, water vapor as the biggest greenhouse gas, I could mention clear nights and frost/bitter cold but will just let the CO2 crowd have their own science and programming on that one.

The hail thing I am mulling over, maybe worth its own thread as am wondering how I insure an oilseed crop that hasn't established. Go bare minimum or double up and play the casino. If i beleive the upper atmosphere is cooling then that should lead to more hail. It was around 2007 the last time I collected a hail claim which was just before the warm/wet cycle started.
nobody talks about the millions of acres of deforestation in south america affecting climate change just the dirty oil. No groups have a vested interest in south america, follow the money
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post #220 of 419 (permalink) Old 06-12-2019, 10:50 AM
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Originally Posted by brazil08 View Post
the thing that scares me more than dry conditions again this yr is a killing August frost
What is your elevation?

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