2019 Drought in Prairies - The Combine Forum
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post #1 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 03:52 PM Thread Starter
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2019 Drought in Prairies

Younger guy here, central SK. So, if it doesn’t rain for the next two weeks, then maybe just an inch here and there after that, exactly had bad could yields be? Moisture under the top soil doesn’t seem too too bad surprisingly (for now) but I don’t know if that means much. Will earlier seeded pulses/cereals with a bit of roots already make out better despite moisture? I contracted a little more new crop wheat than I should have...

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post #2 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 05:38 PM
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A lot is going to depend on what type of soil you have and how much subsoil moisture. If your crop is well established and rooting into a clay based soil with 30” of wet dirt it can go an amazingly long time. If it’s a lighter soil type it will still go for quite a while but with little to no subsoil the party comes to an end a lot faster

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post #3 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 06:22 PM
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Temperatures are critical. If we get a spell where it never cools off then its a lot worse than if it gets hot during the day but still cools off at night.

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post #4 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 06:27 PM
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I think some places in the SW are already done we just haven't heard about it yet. No hay crop either so some will be making some big decisions soon.

Here on the gumbo lentils and wheat stuck in deep can make it a long time, like into end of June. Canola is a different story. top is dust and with no starter rain to get it rolling, could be a disaster.
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post #5 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 07:16 PM
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Last 4 out of 5 years (including 2019) we’ve had under 1” all growing season each of those years and darn hot too. It has been tough to say the least. Somehow we’ve managed to grow something above our crop insurance guarantee (albeit just barely) 3 of those 4 years and had to collect once. I’m pretty surprised we had to take the combines out of the shed the past two yrs. I wouldn’t write things off just yet, but wouldn’t get your hopes up either.
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post #6 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 07:26 PM
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Like they said it depends on your soil. Sadly my area we don’t have a lot of top soil. Couple years ago we averaged 15 on peas and there was rain in the spring. We don’t get rain by 10-15 June I’m thinking total pea crop failure

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post #7 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 07:32 PM
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Not looking good here no subsoil moisture with very little rain pastures hurting bad and dryland hay will be a write off. Crops not using much yet so that's good thing.
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post #8 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 07:43 PM
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Dr Ross McKenzie lives in southern AB and predicts based on soil reserve moisture wheat yields to be 15 to 20 at best this year.
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post #9 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 07:45 PM
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Where did you read that Brian?
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post #10 of 275 (permalink) Old 05-30-2019, 10:06 PM
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Was really hopeful this would give us some rain today!

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